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"...you don't rise to the occasion, you sink to your training standards" -Gulp- Adelaide Crows 2017 Season Preview

Natus Ad Magna Gerenda
"Born to Great Things"
Thanks to everyone at /adelaidefc

We Fly As One

History
??? – 1990: No National Football Competition to Speak Of
1991-1995: The Dawning of the Age of Crowmania
1997-1998: The Holey Crowmanian Empire
1999-2004: A Series of Unfortunate Events (Re-sign of the King)
2004-2012: The Singularity (Rise of the Crowbots)
2013-2014: The Schism
2015-2015 ½: A Feast for Elite Crows
2015 ½ -2016: The Darkness
2016 – Present: The Window
Coaches: Graham Cornes, Robert Shaw, Malcolm Blight, Gary Ayres, Neil Craig, Brenton Sanderson, Mark Bickley INTERIM (pictured right of cup), Vale Phillip Walsh, Scott Camporeale INTERIM, CURRENT Don Pyke
Most Recent All Australians
Rory Sloane (VC) (2016) Daniel Talia (2016) Eddie Betts (2016)
2016 Best and Fairest: Rory Sloane (2nd time)
2016 Leading Goal Kicker: Eddie Betts (3rd in a row)

Current Team

Senior Team
• 2 Brad Crouch• 3 Riley Knight • 4 Josh Jenkins • 5 Scott Thompson • 6 Jake Lever • 7 Jordan Gallucci • 8 Jake Kelly • 9 Rory Sloane • 10 Harrison Wigg • 11 Paul Seedsman • 12 Daniel Talia • 13 Taylor Walker (c) • 14 David Mackay • 15 Kyle Hartigan • 16 Luke Brown • 17 Curtly Hampton • 18 Eddie Betts • 21 Rory Atkins • 22 Andy Otten • 23 Charlie Cameron • 24 Sam Jacobs • 25 Kyle Cheney • 26 Richard Douglas • 27 Tom Lynch • 28 Cam Ellis-Yolmen • 29 Rory Laird • 30 Wayne Milera • 31 Myles Poholke • 32 Troy Menzel • 33 Brodie Smith • 34 Elliot Himmelberg • 35 Matthew Signorello • 36 Dean Gore • 38 Harry Dear • 39 Tom Doedee • 40 Ben Davis • 41 Mitch McGovern • 43 Reilly O'Brien • 44 Matt Crouch
Rookie List • 1 Jonathon Beech • 20 Hugh Greenwood (B) • 37 Paul Hunter • 42 Alex Keath (B) • 45 Ben Jarman
Coaching staff Head coach • Don Pyke
Assistant coaches • Scott Camporeale(midfield) • David Teague (forwards) • Matthew Clarke (ruck) • James Podsiadly (defensive) • Heath Younie (development manager) • Ryan O'Keefe (SANFL coach and midfield development) • Tate Kaesler (team defence specialist coach) • Paul Thomas (defensive development) • Nathan van Berlo (forwards development)
List Changes
Jarryd Lyons (traded w pick 71 to Gold Coast for pick 43 (Myles Poholke @ 44) and 67 (Ben Davis @75)
Matthew Jaensch (retired)
Nathan Van Berlo (retired)
Sam Shaw (listed but retired)
Luke Lowden (delisted)
Keenan Ramsey (delisted)
Ricky Henderson (delisted)
Mitch Grigg (delisted)
u/peckerbrain (retired following failed Gibbs trade rumours)

Players to Watch

David Mackay
David Mackay can be expected to have a breakout season as he moves into the leadership group of the SANFL Crows.
Charlie Cameron
After moving onto the wing for most of last season where his blistering speed could be fully utilised, Charlie Cameron should to continue to improve with another preseason under his belt. He’s one of the fastest players in the league, and his outside run will be a welcome addition to our often slow midfield. Cameron is also incredibly fierce around the contest, more than willing to take on bigger guys (which is most players) and his competitiveness should help our defensive intensity around the ground.
Troy Menzel
We may have had the best forward line in the league last year, but adding a sixth true forward (instead of an extra midfielder in Douglas or Cameron) can only improve our attack. Menzel has been held back by injuries, but if he can get his body right he should add an extra dimension to our already potent forward line. As RoastedB33f_ will mention, this is likely a make-or-break year for Menzel, so hopefully he makes it.
Curtly Hampton
After being set back last season by injuries, Hampton is going to be looking to break into our best 22 and has made a good case so far in the JLT series. Hampton has been training as a half forward and midfielder with the Crows after playing as a defender with GWS, and our selectors love of utility players will likely mean he joins the squad. His pace and smoothness will be a welcome upgrade over David Mackay, the other utility our selectors love.
Wayne Milera
Milera was impressive in the eight games he played last season, displaying his skill on the wing and in the forward line. Providing extra pace and another scoring avenue, Milera showed class and composure during his debut season and, after adding a bit of extra muscle, should continue to improve and break back into our best 22.
Matt Crouch
I was planning to write about Brad Crouch and how excited I was for him to get a full preseason, but.... That's okay though, because his brother Matt was an integral part of our midfield last year and should continue to improve. A hardnut inside mid, Matt enjoyed a great 2016 season, causing some people to wonder whether he was the better Crouch brother. His inside work and tackling intensity somewhat alleviates Sloane's workload, allowing Rory to rest without the midfield completely falling out. Matt's game still has room for a lot of improvement, particularly when away from the clearance, but expect him to continue along his trajectory and become even more of a ball magnet.
Jake Lever
Professional confectionery merchant Jake Lever is one of the best young players in the league, able to read the play well and destroy your ankles. Lever played excellently as an intercepting backman last season, and his marking ability allows Talia to focus on shutting the opposition's most dangerous forward instead of worrying about rebounding. I'm really high on this kid, and think he could rival Jeremy McGovern as the league's best intercepting key defender by the end of this year. Please don't go back to Victoria, Jake.
Eddie Betts
There is never a reason not to watch Eddie.
Thanks to : u/Psycho188
Rory Laird
Laird is defensively one of our most exciting players. Paired with Brodie Smith the rebound potential off the back half is immense. Small enough to be highly effective whilst the balls on the ground, smart enough to contest the ball in the air in 1v1s despite his 178cm build. Bit of a fan clearly, cant wait to see what he brings to the table this year. A quiet player, but is quickly becoming one of our most reliable.
Thanks to: u/grabsy
Charlie Cameron, Brodie Smith and Rory Atkins
Expect to see both Smith and Atkins push into the midfield off the back-half even more than last season. With gaping holes in our inside ball winning at stoppages, these two along with Laird will be used to bypass the main thoroughfare’s and hit up the likes of Lynch and Walker faster. Smith lead the team in metres gained, along with Charlie Cameron. This year Charlie Cameron is tipped to move to a position on the wing rather than at half-forward. His foot speed and read of the play teamed with his inexorable tackling should see teams hitting a Charlie Cameron sized wall at every stoppage this year. Last year his kicking let him down a bit, but with another full pre-season under his belt, this rugby-backgrounded player is set to make an indelible impression on 2017.
Thanks to: u/almostwrongsometimes
DAVID MACKAY AND OTHER PLAYERS ON NOTICE IN 2017
David Mackay
Whilst he had a better 2016 in comparison to previous years, the long-standing whipping boy had another vanilla season. He's contracted until the end of 2018, but a massive increase in output in what looks like limited game-time this year is a must. Faces playing the final two seasons of his contract in the SANFL if he can't.
Jake Kelly
After playing 10 games in 2015 (his debut season), Kelly didn't feature at all last year, with the selectors preferring to play Luke Brown and Kyle Cheney as the medium-sized defenders. Will be competing with a vastly-improved Tom Doedee and the aforementioned two for spots in what is the last year of his contract.
Troy Menzel
Possibly a contentious addition, yes, but I feel this year is a make-or-break one for Menzel. He was traded into the club in 2015 and had a couple of injury problems early last season, but supporters are already uncertain whether he's able to maintain his body to cope with the rigours of AFL or work off the 'lazy' tag that Carlton had attributed to him. Showed his talent in spurts in the SANFL last season by showing his creative wares in the 50, which could add yet another dimension to our forward line if given the opportunity. As I said though, he needs to get both his body and consistency sorted. The clock is just starting to tick.
Richard Douglas
After a down 2016, the question being asked here is are injuries/Father time finally catching up to him? Hopefully not, because he's been a good, solid player. Will want to have a better showing this year to silence the few critics popping up though, otherwise those voices may start to talk louder come 2018 - the final year of his contract.
Scott Thompson
Wouldn't really say he's on notice since 2017 is pretty much all but his last year and he's been an absolute warrior for us for over a decade, but if we're to contend again this year, he needs to get back to his best form with probable limited opportunities because he was a passenger in the last-half of the season.
Thanks to: u/RoastedB33f_

DAVID MACKAY AND OTHER CLUB CONCERNS FOR 2017

The Crows struggled mightily against the Cats and the Eagles (the 2nd time around) last year, showing that the only thing South Australians hate more than Victorians is change. In these three games in particular, strong intercept marking backmen stopped our slingshot style of play from working to it's full effectiveness, but that didn't stop us continuing to try. Over, and over, and over. The Bulldogs' defensive intensity also caused us problems, but we were still able to execute our gameplan well enough in that encounter.
Our selectors also showed a certain amount of stubbornness, preferring not to mess with a lineup that was winning games even if it meant David Mackay stayed in the squad for 19 games. We didn't give our youth as much of a run as some of the supporter base wanted, and generally didn't reward them with consistent playing time (Milera never got back into the side after his injury and CEY was dropped after 2 solid games).
Basically, we need to be more flexible to win the games were we run into problems. Pyke is a good coach who has devised a gameplan that fits well with our players, but that gameplan doesn't always work and we need a backup when that happens. We don't have Dangerfield to carry us when the going gets tough, so there needs to be some sort of change to make sure we always stay competitive. It would be nice to have some more flexibility when it comes to selection, but there is something to be said for stability (spoken like a true South Australian).
Thanks to: u/pshcho188
As it was in 2016, a major concern for us coming into 2017 is the shallow depth of our midfield.
In no uncertain terms, the midfield needs to lift their game if we're to contend; it's totally impractical to rely on Rory Sloane and Matt Crouch - not to mention our forward line - to shoulder much of the load like we saw towards the end of 2016. This means that names like Brad Crouch, Rory Atkins, Wayne Milera, Curtly Hampton and Dean Gore need to make that big step up and clock in some consistent performances.
Some of our senior midfielders (coughMackaycough) also need to significantly boost their output as well when given the chance. When they needed to stamp their authority on the game, we tended to see anything but and, in the end, it cost us dearly. A return of the Scott Thompson of old would be a godsend, but with his aging body, he just can't throw the team on those massive shoulders of his and lead as consistently as he used to.
Thanks to: u/RoastedB33f_

2017 Fixture

R1 Sun, March 26 GWS GIANTS Adelaide Oval Home 2.50pm Seven (1)
R2 Sat, April 1 Hawthorn MCG Away 1.45pm Foxtel(1)
R3 Sat, April 8 Port Adelaide Adelaide Oval Away 7.10pm Foxtel(1)
R4 Sat, April 15 Essendon Adelaide Oval Home 7.10pm Seven(1)
R5 Sat, April 22 Gold Coast SUNS Metricon Stadium Away 4.35pm Foxtel(1)
R6 Sun, April 30 Richmond Adelaide Oval Home 4.10pm Foxtel(1)
R7 Sat, May 6 North Melbourne Blundstone Arena Away 1.45pm Foxtel(1)
R8 Sat, May 13 Melbourne Adelaide Oval Home 7.10pm Foxtel(1)
R9 Sat, May 20 Brisbane Lions The Gabba Away 7.25pm Foxtel(1)
R10 Sat, May 27 Fremantle Adelaide Oval Home 7.10pm Foxtel(1)
R11 Fri, June 2 Geelong Cats Simonds Stadium Away 7.50pm Seven(1)
R12 Fri, June 9 St Kilda Adelaide Oval Home 7.20pm Seven(1)
R13 Bye
R14 Thur, June 22 Hawthorn Adelaide Oval Home 7.20pm Seven(2)
R15 Sat, July 1 Carlton MCG Away 2.10pm Foxtel(1)
R16 Fri, July 7 Western Bulldogs Adelaide Oval Home 7.20pm Seven(1)
R17 Sat, July 15 Melbourne TIO Stadium Away 7.10pm Seven(2)
R18 Fri, July 21 Geelong Cats Adelaide Oval Home 7.20pm Seven(2)
R19 Sun, July 30 Collingwood MCG Away 3.20pm Seven(1)
R20 Sun, August 6 Port Adelaide Adelaide Oval Home 4.10pm Foxtel(2)
R21 Sat, August 12 Essendon Etihad Stadium Away 7.25pm Seven(2)
R22 Fri, August 18 Sydney Swans Adelaide Oval Home 7.20pm Seven(1)
R23 TBC West Coast Eagles Subiaco Away TBC TBC (1)
Fixture Preview
Our season begins with a brutally tough opener against GWS in a Sunday twilight match. The last time we met saw us win comfortably and Eddie bag his magical 2016 GOTY. However with injury interrupted preseasons to Rory Sloane and Brad Crouch, this match could see the Crows under the pump from the get go in 2017. Round 2 we travel to the MCG to face Hawthorn, a team we haven't beaten since 2011 and we haven't beaten at the MCG since 2009, a very Rough order. Then we're back in Adelaide, but not at home, for the first Showdown of 2016, who we've beaten 3 times on the trot now but ultimately SA fans know form counts for nought when it comes to Showdowns. Then we travel, a lot, over the next 7 rounds. After facing a Bombers side injected with experience at home we north to Metricon to face the Suns, then back home to face Richmond, then south to Blundstone and a rebuilding North Melbourne, then the Demons for the first time in 2017, then back to Brisbane for Brisbane. And after all of that we will be facing a probably resurgent Fremantle heading out of it our road trip.
The next 5 rounds will be extremely tight, not including the bye, with round 11 taking us to the Cattery for Geelong, a team who has a 6 year winning streak against us anywhere in the home and away season, and a 14 year unbeaten streak at home against the Crows. Then we host St Kilda heading into the bye.
Immediately following the bye we have Hawthorn for the second time this season, this time at home. Following that probably bruising encounter we face Carlton at the MCG, then back home against the reigning premiers the Western Bulldogs. The ledger between us is fairly even, the last encounter the inaccurate Bulldogs escaping with a win against a fast finishing Crows in one of the matches of 2016.
Then the 3rd of 4 long road trips of 2017 with the Crows heading to Darwin to take on the Demons. Round 18 sees the Crows head home to tackle the Cats again before travelling to meet the Magpies at the MCG.
The Crows run into the finals this year will not be an easy one, facing Port Adelaide for the second Showdown of the year, then if the Bombers have supplemented their newly available squad with fresh legged rookies to keep their veterans in top shape could be a tricky order at Eithad. The last two rounds of the home and away season will be more difficult again, with the Swans visiting for a rematch after their dismantling of Adelaide in the finals last year, before we get on the plane and travel to face West Coast again for the last game of the year. Interestingly the date, time and venue are all TBC/TBA. Could we be playing in the new stadium?
Our Double Ups
Port Adelaide
Essendon
Geelong Cats
Melbourne
Hawthorn
Expected Ladder Position and Results
The very uncertain matches include round one against GWS, the clash with Melbourne in Darwin, and the Bulldogs. The Showdowns go without saying. We can beat West Coast and Sydney I believe, but the Cats and the Hawks have had such a ridiculous hoodoo over us I still can’t see us beating them. Hopefully the JLT win will give the team some hope that Geelong aren't out of their grasp, though it is doubtful they'd give Paddy another massage and ooloong tea at half time next time.
We expect a top 4 finish with at least 16 wins this year. Anything other than top 4 for most fans would be a backslide that would be hard to accept, even with the injuries we have sustained over the post 2016 and pre 2017 season. We definitely should make the finals and I don't think anyone serious about football really expects to see Adelaide drop out of the 8.

EDDIE BETTS GOAL OF THE YEAR ROUND PREDICITION

u/AlmostWrongSometimes - Eddie to kick the GOTY at TIO.
u/psycho188 Indigenous Round (Round 10) against Freo at AO.
u/wasabiface Eddie Betts GOTY against the Demons at the TIO, but will contend in rounds 1 - 22. Round 23 he'll be a bit tired.
submitted by AlmostWrongSometimes to AFL

Season Preview: Kets get working

2018 recap
H&A Ladder position: 4th (15 wins, 7 losses)
Peter Crimmins Medal (BnF): Tom Mitchell
Leading goalkicker: Luke Breust (54 goals)
All-Australian representation: Tom Mitchell, Luke Breust, Jack Gunston
Rising Star nominations: James Worpel, Harry Morrison
Debutants: James Worpel, Conor Nash, Mitch Lewis, David Mirra
2018 Season Review Most Hawthorn fans would have been been reasonably satisfied with the club's 2018 campaign despite its underwhelming conclusion. Fifteen wins and a top four finish (while a little flattering) was a strong result for a team that's clearly in transition from the days of three-peat premiership glory.
Season highlights included two excellent wins over a Geelong team that looked much better than us on paper, an early-season mauling of Melbourne, halting Essendon's late surge to finals in Round 20 and finding a way to win - again - against Sydney at the SCG.
Two losses to an emerging Brisbane really highlighted the team's weaknesses, with the Lions' run-and-gun style exposing our slower midfielders and structural issues at both ends of the ground; a good reminder that we're still a work in progress. And while we were competitive in just about every loss in 2018, it was clear that we didn't quite have enough firepower or polish to match it with the elite of the competition.
There were plenty of individual success stories; it felt like most players on the list improved after many stagnated the previous year. Tom Mitchell took his game to another level, winning more of the footy than anyone thought humanly possible; his superhuman endurance helping him to influence games right through to the last minutes. Luke Breust bounced back from a somewhat underwhelming 2017 to secure his second All-Australian guernsey, and reasonable claims as the best pure small forward in the league. Jack Gunston moved back to a more permanent forward role, booting in excess of 50 goals for the fourth time in five years and earning himself a debut spot in the AA team. James Sicily continued to thrive down back, and was probably on track for AA selection as well before going down with an ill-timed injury mid-year. Blake Hardwick emerged as a best-22 lock and a reliable lockdown defender, and finished 2nd in the B&F. Ben Stratton went from perennially underrated to a captaincy contender. We finally saw Jaeger O'Meara put together close to a full season of top-level football, and suddenly that ambitious trade nearly three years ago all made sense. There were more encouraging signs from Harry Morrison, Conor Nash and Mitch Lewis; and James Worpel made an immediate impact despite Joel Selwood trying to bump him into next week.
On the downside, we were reminded time and again of footballing mortality. Jarryd Roughead lost another yard of pace; his well-honed ability to read the play now the key to his game as his once-elite agility and endurance slips away. We celebrated Cyril Rioli's long-awaited return; and then his unique career as he chose a long-feared retirement. Grant Birchall never even emerged from the sheds. Even Shaun Burgoyne looked fragile at times; his streak of 107 consecutive games halted by injury early in the year.
It was another quiet and unassuming trade week - as is now become custom under Alastair Clarkson. We focused on delivering all the stock-standards: - trading out a fan favourite that everyone thought was untouchable - finding some fringe players a new home - picking up a disillusioned top draft pick from Gold Coast on the cheap - taking advantage of another club's salary cap woes to make a speculative play on a seriously-injured player - paying overs for a two-time All-Australian who needs a change of scenery
You know, the usual.
Despite the big signings, the most important contract was cleared just before the trade period, with Clarkson committing to the club for a further three years at the start of October. The best coach of the modern era seems reinvigorated, and keen to take on the challenge of taking a new-look Hawthorn team back to premiership glory.
Outs for 2019
Ryan Burton - Traded to Port Adelaide
Taylor Duryea - Traded to the Bulldogs
Kurt Heatherley - Delisted
Kieran Lovell - Delisted
Jonathan O'Rourke - Delisted
Brendan Whitecross - Delisted
Dallas Willsmore - Delisted
Cyril Rioli - Retired
Ty Vickery - Retired
Ins for 2019
Jack Scrimshaw (Gold Coast)
Tom Scully (GWS Giants)
Chad Wingard (Port Adelaide)
Jacob Koschitzke (Murray Bushrangers)
Mathew Walker (GWS Academy)
Rookies
Rookies Damon Greaves (East Perth) Will Golds (Oakleigh Chargers)
Tim Mohr (GWS Giants)
Will Langford (Retired - Hawthorn)
Players to watch for 2019
Jaeger O'meara - For the 3rd straight year he has been one to watch for Hawk fans but for a different reason this year. 2018 was a successful year for Jaeger playing 21 games for the Hawks and and having a career best year. His second half of the season was borderline All Australian quality and was arguably on par with Brownlow medalist Tom Mitchell after the bye.
2019 will come with added responsibility though with Tom Mitchell going down in the pre season. He has been a stand out during the Pre season and looks to finally be over the knee injuries that have plagued him thus far in his career, look for him to explode in 2019.
Chad Wingard The big high profile recruit for the Hawks in the off season was Chad Wingard. He was brought in at the expense of fan favourite Ryan Burton and will be expected to go some ways to replacing the great Cyril Rioli (good luck with that). Since arriving he has impressed training watchers and looks to have really settled well at the club.
His role will be really interesting to keep an eye on. He made his name as a small forward in his early years at Port Adelaide and at his best is one of the elite in the game at that position. However he has shown at times that he has what it takes to be a really damaging mid as well. With Tom going down and the lack of depth in the Hawks midfield he may be asked to play an extended period of time in the midfield.
Jarman Impey
Jarman was brought to the club in 2018 and played every game for the Hawks last season. He had an impressive start to his Hawks career with flashes of brilliance but still have obvious parts of his game that he needed to work on.
Going in to 2019 he looks ready to take that next step forward after a big pre season, he has worked hard on his fitness which will hopefully allow him to stay involved in the game for 4 quarters. He has spent most of the pre season down back and will most likely look to make that rebounding Half back role his own.
Players on notice
Tim O'Brien -7th year on the list, and still little more than a perennial tease. Although hampered last year, by Clarko's own admission, by being trained both as a forward and as a defender, his lack of development is pretty clear for anyone with eyes - failing to sneak past even the journeymen of Schoenmakers or Brand in order of preference for the forward and back lines, respectively. There is little doubt this is going to be his last season if there is not a serious pick up in form given the arrival of players with apparently higher ceilings (Lewis, Nash, Koschitzke, and even Mohr). His reputation among the fan base is not aided by the fact that it was allegedly his tackle that broke Mitchell's leg. A 193cm/83kg KP player living in a 197cm/95kg KP player world.
John Ceglar - a serviceable second ruck, but in danger of losing his spot to either a better ruckman in Pittonet (who had a stellar 2018 VFL season) or a KPF in Lewis who is tall enough to give McEvoy a break from the ruck and also provides more service around the ground. Further at risk by the likely SSP signing of Ned Reeves - son of club CEO Justin - given clubs rarely run a list with 4 pure ruckmen on them, especially considering how durable McEvoy is.
Dan Howe or James Cousins - Two players, one spot. No, not yet an internet video you wish you hadn't seen, Hawthorn's 2019 midfield. Although I often get into debates with other fans over this, I think there's only really room for one of Howe or Cousins in the midfield. So for the one who fails to claim the spot, or god forbid if they both fail to take the opportunity (with Harry Jones, and the other likely SSP signing of Box Hill's newest recruit, Luke Meadows, providing pressure also), careers will be on tenterhooks.
Teia Miles - was told to explore his opportunities during the trade period, with no takers. If he doesn't tie down a best 22 spot, 2019 is probably going to be his last year on the list. Personally, I reckon the club is giving him a bit of a raw deal, played some good games last year and is excellent by foot, he needs to work on his defensive accountability, but definitely something to work with. Must make the small defender spot his own, with Blake Hardwick likely in the offing for more midfield minutes. Has great vision and footy sense as shown in the Box Hill premiership tilt last year, will impress at AFL level if given more opportunity.
2019 Expectations and Predictions
Hawthorn made top 4 last year, and the list got objectively better over the off season (loss of Burton vs additions of Wingard, Scully and Scrimshaw). Yes I know that Wingard may be the only one of those who may play this year (Scully uncertain through injury, and Scrimshaw being just uncertain given 4 games over 2 years at Gold Coast...GOLD COAST).
The Forward Line: m3m3 Ka-ween Mitch Lewis has to play the majority of the year, young KPFs arguably take the longest of any position to develop, but develop he must if the team is to go anywhere! He is aided by the best small forward pairing (Bruest and Wingard, fucking fight me) and third tall in the league (Gunston). Plus hopefully Rough can play a bit freer now that he doesn't have to carry the weight of captaincy. Add in Poppy for forward pressure and the forward line should be set to at least match its 2018 output. Schoenmakers and Nash will also likely be slotted in at CHF from time to time, here's hoping the latter has learned how to kick straight.
Midfield: With Mitchell going down, I'm less certain of finals, but still think we can make it. It all depends on whether the kids (Cousins, Howe, Jones, Meadows*) step up. However, while I'm not saying they couldn't pick up 50 possessions (it...could happen), odds are against them being able to match the output of the reigning Brownlow medalist. Which means the midfield needs to lift as a group. But I think they're up to it. Touch wood, but Jaeger should handle the number 1 role with aplomb. It also means more midfield minutes for the improving James Worpel (I will not stoop to using that god awful nickname), Jarman Impey and Harry Morrison. Liam Shiels can be relied on to quietly support the whole operation. In terms of wingmen Hawthorn is up there with the best having Isaac Smith, the criminally underrated Ricky Henderson, and Tom Scully. This will also be aided by the return of Sam Mitchell who turned West Coast's midfield from rather mediocre to one of the best in the competition. The club will be hoping for him to have a similar effect now he's returned to shepherd his rightful flock. Our season will succeed or fail on the fortunes of our midfield.
The Back Line: The issues for Hawthorn's backline are two fold. Firstly is the effect of the new rules on the teams ability to press. Both the kick in rules and 6-6-6 mean that there is less scope for the heavy press that Clarko loves to set. Can the backline play defence man on man as well as knowing when to come off to intercept? Fortunately Stratton, Sicily and latter on in the season Hardwick all showed they can be trusted to do this. Sicily in particular could become one of the best defenders in the game if he learns to pull his head in (but in your heart-of-hearts, do you really want him to?). However the other weakness is our KPD, while Stratton and Sicily are both capable of doing periods on Key Forwards, seeing either of them having to man a Porkins, Patton, Wright or Cox for a whole game makes me very nervous. We really need Brand to take the next step. Frawley is great one on one, but the less said about him disposing of the ball the better. Mohr, Nash and O'Brien will likely be asked to perform the KPD role at some stage. So long as the midfield can prevent too many clean entries into the defensive 50, the backline should be able to hold up.
There's no getting around the fact that the draw this year is brutal. Double-ups against GWS, WCE, Geelong, Norf, and Brisbane - all teams that Hawthorn has a mixed or worse history against in recent seasons present the chance to kill our season if we don't win at least half of those 10 games.
The optimistic Hawthorn fan can see with a bit of luck, some surprises from youngster developing and some small miracles in the medical room, the Hawks could fill a spot in the bottom half of the 8.
The pessimistic Hawthorn fans saw Titchell go down and was already wondering who we could trade a top ten draft pick for... That Kelly fellow from GWS looks interesting...
LIKELY FINISH 2019: Anywhere from 8th to 12th, most likely in the middle of that, and with flag aspirations for 2020.
submitted by BIllyBrooks to hawktalk

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